Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.001078 0.001226 0.001375 0.001537 0.001705 0.001876 0.002061
2025-08-31 0.000855 0.001068 0.001289 0.001535 0.001799 0.002071 0.002372
2025-09-07 0.000702 0.000962 0.001242 0.001562 0.001911 0.002278 0.002689
2025-09-14 0.000539 0.000828 0.001151 0.001530 0.001952 0.002402 0.002913
2025-09-21 0.000441 0.000757 0.001122 0.001560 0.002056 0.002590 0.003202
2025-09-28 0.000380 0.000722 0.001130 0.001627 0.002197 0.002817 0.003531
2025-10-05 0.000297 0.000648 0.001085 0.001629 0.002261 0.002955 0.003761
2025-10-12 0.000238 0.000599 0.001065 0.001655 0.002350 0.003118 0.004015
2025-10-19 0.000171 0.000526 0.001009 0.001635 0.002382 0.003215 0.004193
2025-10-26 0.000121 0.000472 0.000971 0.001633 0.002432 0.003330 0.004389
2025-11-02 0.000076 0.000410 0.000920 0.001611 0.002455 0.003412 0.004547
2025-11-09 0.000042 0.000359 0.000878 0.001597 0.002486 0.003501 0.004710
2025-11-16 0.000003 0.000261 0.000772 0.001516 0.002459 0.003547 0.004856
2025-11-23 NaN 0.000204 0.000721 0.001505 0.002515 0.003693 0.005116
2025-11-30 NaN 0.000167 0.000695 0.001526 0.002610 0.003884 0.005431
2025-12-07 NaN 0.000114 0.000631 0.001490 0.002633 0.003989 0.005647
2025-12-14 NaN 0.000090 0.000614 0.001517 0.002734 0.004187 0.005968
2025-12-21 NaN 0.000079 0.000623 0.001582 0.002882 0.004439 0.006352
2025-12-28 NaN 0.000053 0.000591 0.001583 0.002947 0.004591 0.006619
2026-01-04 NaN 0.000038 0.000576 0.001608 0.003041 0.004778 0.006926
2026-01-11 NaN 0.000017 0.000533 0.001588 0.003076 0.004891 0.007144
2026-01-18 NaN 0.000006 0.000504 0.001585 0.003132 0.005028 0.007391
2026-01-25 NaN NaN 0.000464 0.001563 0.003159 0.005130 0.007594